Predictors of Early Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with Hemorrhagic Trauma
Keywords:
severe trauma, hemorrhagic trauma, mortality.Abstract
Introduction: Severe traumatic disease is the sixth leading cause of death worldwide, high percentage of deaths is ascribed to uncontrolled bleeding. There are no studies in Cuba on predictive variables of early mortality in hospitalized patients with hemorrhagic trauma.
Objective: To identify predictive variables of early mortality in hospitalized patients with hemorrhagic trauma.
Methods: An observational, analytical, cross-sectional study was carried out, which included 207 patients with hemorrhagic trauma, at Camilo Cienfuegos Provincial General Hospital in Sancti Spíritus, from 2012 to 2017. The variables were grouped into sociodemographic, diseases chronic, lesion mechanism, type of trauma, topographic location, early complications, medical-surgical treatment and early mortality. A binary logistic regression model was developed using the Wald forward method.
Results: The global percentage of the logistic regression model showed the relationship between what was predicted with respect to what was observed in 94.6%. The predictors explained 83.8% of the variability of the dependent variable. Five predictors of early mortality, arterial hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic liver disease, acute coagulopathy, and hypothermia were determined.
Conclusions: It is concluded that chronic diseases such as arterial hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and chronic liver disease, associated with acute coagulopathy and hypothermia, were identified as predictors of early death in patients hospitalized for hemorrhagic trauma.
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